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The coronavirus pandemic has highlighted the importance of people who grow, pick, and process food as essential workers. These agricultural workers will also be on the front lines of climate change, a new study makes clear.
In principle, this isn’t so surprising – agricultural workers labor outside, and temperatures are rising. But until now, most research on climate change and agriculture has focused on crops, not the people who pick them.
Researchers gathered data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on the number of agricultural workers employed in each county. They used climate data from a government database covering 1979-2013 to calculate agricultural workers’ historical exposure to extreme heat. They also projected extreme heat exposure in the future based on computer climate models.
Under current agricultural labor practices, healthy workers can tolerate regular exposure to a heat index (which includes the effect of both temperature and humidity) up to 83.4 °F without suffering heat stress.
Between 1979 and 2013, counties with at least 500 agricultural workers have seen heat extremes ranging from 78.1 to 109.2 °F at some point during the May-through-August growing season. The average worker has experienced temperatures above the heat stress threshold on 21 days each growing season; high numbers of unsafe days have occurred mainly in southern California and the Southeast.
With 2 °C of global average warming, which is expected around mid-century even if carbon emissions peak within the next two decades, “The average U.S. crop worker will face heat extremes of 101.4 °F,” the researchers write in the journal Environmental Research Letters.
At that point, the average worker will experience 39 days of unsafe heat each year. Regions with large numbers of unsafe days will include more northerly areas such as New Jersey and eastern Washington. In the Southeast, “the entirety of the growing season will be considered unsafe for agricultural work with present-day work practices,” the researchers write.
With 4 °C of global average warming, which is expected by the end of the century if high carbon emissions continue, the average worker will experience unsafe temperatures on 62 out of the 153 growing season days. A majority of crop workers will at some point each year experience a heat index above 115 °F, which the U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration defines as “very high/extreme” risk.
The researchers also considered ways to reduce the impact of heat: workers could work more slowly, rest more, take breaks in an air-conditioned environment, or wear more breathable clothing.
The most effective single measure would be wearing more breathable clothing. This is challenging to accomplish, because agricultural workers must often wear personal protective equipment (PPE) to protect against dust, pesticides, and so on. So this would require developing some new material that can protect against these hazards but also let out body heat. Still, it’s a hopeful finding in that it suggests technology could actually provide a solution.
Combining two adaptive measures—resting more plus resting in air conditioning, resting more or working more slowly plus breathable clothing – could result in less heat exposure for workers in a 4 °C warmer world than workers experience under current climate and working conditions.
And that’s the problem. Agricultural workers are already 20 times more likely to die from heat stress than the civilian labor force as a whole. Many U.S. crop workers have little education and limited English language skills, and a large fraction are undocumented. It’s possible to reduce the risks to their health even today, but that would require a pretty thorough restructuring of working conditions – and an equally thorough reworking of how the rest of us value their labor and their lives.
Source: Tichgelaar M. et al. “Work adaptations insufficient to address growing heat risk for U.S. agricultural workers.” Environmental Research Letters 2020.
Image: U.S. Department of Agriculture via Flickr.